{"id":39657,"date":"2018-12-03T14:24:21","date_gmt":"2018-12-03T13:24:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.justiceinfo.net\/39657-icc-what-s-on-the-menu-for-2019.html"},"modified":"2018-12-03T14:24:21","modified_gmt":"2018-12-03T13:24:21","slug":"icc-what-s-on-the-menu-for-2019","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.justiceinfo.net\/en\/39657-icc-what-s-on-the-menu-for-2019.html","title":{"rendered":"ICC: What\u2019s on the menu for 2019"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>The Assembly of State Parties to the International Criminal Court opens its annual session on December 5 in The Hague. Here are the main topics and issues that will be discussed. They give a hint of the Office of the Prosecutor\u2019s priorities and dilemmas, and the hot debates that they will trigger in the coming year. <\/strong><\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p>You can almost hear the relief felt by International Criminal Court (ICC) supporters who will be gathering in The Hague for the 17<sup>th<\/sup> Assembly of States Parties (ASP) meeting from December 5 to 15: no major scandals breaking; no new threatened exits by member states; no sustained critique, apart from that of non-member United States.<\/p>\n<p>But, in fact, the picture is less rosy than the lack of focused public attention to an institution regularly in the crosshairs might appear.<\/p>\n<p>The first issue is that the ICC is in no danger of overwhelming its court rooms: only two trials are ongoing; another had its pre-trial phase pushed back to May 2019; only one new accused is currently in detention. The second issue is the controversial choices the prosecution is making with its next year of active investigations. And the third issue is likely to be the budget itself. Regularly, key member states have tightened the tap and refused to accept asked-for increases. Will this year be different?<\/p>\n<h3>WHAT\u2019S IN THE COURTROOMS<\/h3>\n<p>According to information available at the <a href=\"https:\/\/asp.icc-cpi.int\/EN_Menus\/asp\/sessions\/documentation\/17th-session\/pages\/default.aspx#documentation\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">ICC\u2019s ASP page<\/a> the court has plenty going on. But what\u2019s actually happening in the courtroom is pretty meagre. The <a href=\"en\/tribunals\/icc\/38933-dominic-ongwen-the-imperfect-poster-child-of-the-icc.html\">trial of Dominic Ongwen<\/a>, former rebel commander in Uganda, is apparently the most wordy, with \u201cthree thousand, seven hundred and ninety-eight pieces of evidence\u201d making it \u201cthe greatest volume of evidence admitted in a trial\u201d to date. It\u2019s now at the defence stage \u2013 and predicted to need another 160 days in court during 2019.<\/p>\n<p>Ivorian former president Laurent Gbagbo and his supporter Charles Bl\u00e9 Goud\u00e9 also continue in the dock with an estimated 124 days needed next year, but judges will first be deciding whether the prosecution has done enough to <a href=\"en\/tribunals\/icc\/39451-gbagbo-is-there-a-case-to-answer.html\">make a case to answer<\/a>. Al Hassan Ag Abdoul Aziz, the former de facto chief of the Islamic police in Timbuktu, Mali, will have been in detention in The Hague more than a year before his confirmation of charges \u2013 about 10 days\u2019 worth of court time \u2013 begins in May 2019. For these three trial proceedings, the court says up to 103 witnesses are expected to appear to give testimony.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The court\u2019s documents detail the breadth of its engagements during last year: 21 cases and 10 situations (Central African Republic I and II, Uganda, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Darfur, Kenya, Libya, C\u00f4te d\u2019Ivoire, Mali and Georgia). If you count in Pre-Trial Chamber activity and preliminary examinations from last year, there\u2019s even more: Registered Vessels of Comoros, Greece and Cambodia; Gabon; Burundi; Guinea; Iraq\/UK; Nigeria; Palestine; Philippines; Venezuela; Ukraine; Colombia; Myanmar\/Bangladesh and, lastly (but not least) Afghanistan where prosecutor Fatou Bensouda has been waiting for more than a year to get the judges to authorize an investigation.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>So what else will be involving the judges? \u201cFive final appeals will be ongoing throughout 2019, as well as reparations proceedings in three cases.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>But out of all of that, actually only a handful of people are actually in detention.<\/p>\n<h3>WHAT\u2019S IN THE INVESTIGATIONS (GOLDEN OLDIES AND NEW HITS)<\/h3>\n<p>\u201cAs the Court often operates in highly volatile political and security environments, focus and resources are also devoted to active investigations, as a priority, in order to capitalize on opportunities as much as possible,\u201d declares the court. Putting its \u2013 potential \u2013 money where its mouth is, the Office of the Prosecutor (OTP) has proposed increasing its active investigations from six to eight.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cGood idea\u201d applauds <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/alexgwhiting\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Alex Whiting<\/a>, professor at Harvard and former coordinator of ICC prosecutions. \u201cI think it's an excellent development\u201d agrees <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/pilabuda\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Patryk Labuda<\/a>, Hauser Global Fellow at New York University, \u201cbecause this was one of the major criticisms leveled against [former prosecutor] Moreno Ocampo \u2013 that he didn't do enough investigations, but instead came out with all sorts of headline grabbing arrest warrants, and not enough actual evidence to back them up.\u201d But Whiting warns that eight may be \u201cdifficult\u201d, even if a combination of increased capacity within the OTP and \u201cthe balance of different investigations, makes it possible.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>What has drawn a more mixed response are the apparent priorities detailed in the documents: \u201cIn line with OTP strategy, priority is always assigned to cases that are being prepared for trial or that are at the trial stage.\u201d Labuda points out that <em>\u201c<\/em>in terms of open situations you have 11 open situations and four [DRC, Kenya, Mali, Uganda] have been left off this list completely.<em>\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>Does it mean that it is more urgent to intervene in Libya than in the Democratic Republic of Congo? I'm sure the victims in Congo would disagree.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>The OTP says the selection is \u201cin order to meet the most urgent demands for its intervention\u201d but Patryk Labuda is sceptical. <em>\u201c<\/em>Urgency lies in the eye of the beholder in a way\u2026 does it mean that it is more urgent to intervene in Libya than in the Democratic Republic of Congo? I'm sure the victims in Congo would disagree.<em>\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p>So, what has made the prosecutor\u2019s cut? There are some golden oldies, along with some new hits.<\/p>\n<p>In the first category come two Central African Republic investigations \u2013 known as CAR II, to separate them from the first wave of investigation in CAR. These are focused on the \u201crenewed violence in the country from 2012 onwards by government entities and various groups, including elements known as, or grouped under the names S\u00e9l\u00e9ka and anti-Balaka.\u201d The recent delivery of <a href=\"en\/live-feed\/39552-c-africa-ex-militia-leader-rambo-to-face-icc-judges.html\">former militia leader anti-Balaka Alfred Yekatom<\/a> to The Hague covered at least one of these groups.<\/p>\n<p>Then there\u2019s Ivory Coast, where, after the focus on pro-Gbagbo forces, now come the pro-Ouattara forces (CIV II). Here the court says there\u2019s been \u201cgood progress\u201d but, since Ouattara and supporters are in power, Whiting agrees this is \u201cextremely challenging\u201d. He believes \u201cthe OTP deserves a lot of credit for continuing to press this\u201d and suggests this investigation shows how committed the OTP is to \u201cbalance\u201d and not remaining trapped into one-sided investigations. \u201cOne can only hope that the Ouattara government understands that the credibility of investigations on the other side, the credibility of its own government, the credibility of its efforts to have accountability, will depend on how much it cooperates,\u201d says Whiting. \u201cBut not every government sees that... So, those will be difficult investigations.\u201d\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>In Darfur, Sudan, there\u2019s a somewhat vague commitment \u201cto investigate leads\u201d relating to earlier investigations. Since the prosecutor has regularly expressed her frustration back to the Security Council \u2013 which gave her predecessor the mandate to investigate some thirteen years ago \u2013 at the continued <a href=\"en\/live-feed\/38770-jordan-defends-bashir-non-arrest-before-icc.html\">non-arrest of president Omar al-Bashir<\/a>, this is really an investigation that\u2019s marking time. \u201cIt\u2019s being done to make sure that information remains current in the event that there\u2019s ever a surrender,\u201d says Whiting.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>The impression of the civil society, as well as of the general public, is that the ICC, and most importantly Prosecutor Bensouda, has forgotten that she has opened investigation into Georgia\u2019s situation.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>The Georgia three year-long investigation, which neither Tbilisi nor Moscow wanted, where the OTP is looking into the short war and displacement of people in 2008, is apparently stuck. While there have been declarations of support from Georgian authorities, prospects of concrete results in this case look bleak. Those monitoring the situation are distinctly unimpressed: \u201cOverall, the impression of the civil society, as well as of the general public, is that the ICC, and most importantly Prosecutor Bensouda, has forgotten that she has opened investigation into Georgia\u2019s situation,\u201d says <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/NikaJei\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Nika Jeiranashvili<\/a>, the executive director of Justice International, an NGO. \u201cIn the current, tense political environment, there is a risk that the ICC becomes a tool for destabilization,\u201d he says, and that although the court says it is \u201caware\u201d, \u201cthey do not do anything about it, which makes one wonder whether they care about the process at all and the impact it has on the country.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>And finally, there\u2019s Libya. There were several cases out of the UNSC referral that all focused on the revolution and the Gaddafi era. No suspect came to the court. But now Bensouda is getting her teeth into \u201cmore recent events\u201d. The two active lines of investigation (Libya III and IV) are into military commander Mahmoud al-Werfalli for <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bellingcat.com\/news\/mena\/2018\/02\/09\/what-werfalli-did\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">war crimes based on social media video evidence<\/a> and another \u201crelating to alleged crimes against humanity, within the Court\u2019s jurisdiction, <a href=\"en\/tribunals\/icc\/33499-will-the-icc-take-up-crimes-against-migrants-in-libya%20.html\">against migrants<\/a>.\u201d The very different \u201cfocus, nature and method\u201d of these two investigations, means that \u201ctwo distinct teams are required\u201d. But to keep costs down and to exploit \u201csynergies\u201d neither has a full team.<\/p>\n<p>Whiting believes \u201cthe combination of social media evidence leaving the country or individuals leaving, even potential insiders\u201d make these \u201cvery real\u201d investigations.<\/p>\n<p>And the real baby \u2013 the newest investigation of a new country \u2013 is Burundi. The court says this investigation was \u201cjump-started\u201d this year by moving existing staff and resources onto this situation. But it will need more resources to keep going at this level.<\/p>\n<p>Whiting describes it as the \u201cstartup phase\u201d. But, he warns, \u201cyou face the same challenge as with Sudan. You can\u2019t operate in the country.\u201d He expects the team to be drawing on evidence that\u2019s already been collected, checking who and what\u2019s available via social media from outside and seeing if they can find ways of penetrating the inside.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>The Congolese government has made it pretty clear that they will withdraw from the Rome Statute if the ICC does something that they don't appreciate.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>And so, DRC is no longer a priority for 2019. Dr Denis Mukwege, who will receive on Monday the Nobel Peace Prize for his fight against mass rape in Eastern Congo may appreciate that. Labuda shares the disappointment. <em>\u201cT<\/em>he violence has increased dramatically in the last three years. The prosecutor has repeatedly issued press releases specifically warning the government that if this continues the ICC will intervene. So, we're now talking about two years of warnings and no follow up\u201d. <em>He acknowledges that as there have been <\/em><a href=\"en\/tribunals\/icc\/38629-congolese-rebel-says-he-is-a-revolutionary-not-a-criminal.html\">ongoing cases<\/a><em> from the DRC, including the trial of former militia leader Bosco Ntaganda, and \u201c<\/em>you need the government to facilitate\u201d getting witnesses to The Hague. And he points out the political reality: \u201cThe Congolese government has made it pretty clear that they will withdraw from the Rome Statute if the ICC does something that they don't appreciate.\u201d <em>He sees the dilemmas the prosecutor faces. <\/em>But, he says, \u201cfor the third year in a row there's a disconnect between her rhetoric and what's happening on the ground. This kind of epitomizes her reluctance to confront states in some places. Some people will applaud her pragmatism. Others will criticize.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Mali is also no longer an active investigation. \u201cWe are pleased the number of active investigations is increasing, but we\u2019re not really clear on how they [the OTP] are making these decisions. We don\u2019t get very clear responses to our questions\u2026in Mali they are doing these two cases, and that\u2019s it?\u201d asks <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/AmalNassar_\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Amal Nassar<\/a>, the International Federation of Human rights (FIDH) permanent representative to the ICC.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>Judges went out of their way to tell the prosecutor: you should already move to the investigation phase. So why isn\u2019t she moving faster?<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>And the other big one notable for its absence on the 2019 list is that of Rohingya Muslims deported from Myanmar to Bangladesh where <a href=\"en\/justiceinfo-comment-and-debate\/opinion\/39458-rohingya-why-the-icc-was-right-and-what-it-must-do.html\">judges recently approved the prosecutor\u2019s request<\/a> to open a preliminary examination. Judges went out of their way, says Whiting, to tell the prosecutor: you should already move to the investigation phase. So \u201cwhy isn\u2019t she moving faster?\u201d he asks. \u201cTo me that\u2019s unfortunate,\u201d he says. \u201cI think that she should seize that opportunity. I understand there are so many other cases, and she doesn\u2019t want to let this one jump the queue. But I think there are times when you have to seize the momentum and I think this is one of those moments.\u201d\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n<h3>WILL STATES PAY FOR WHAT HAS BEEN ORDERED?<\/h3>\n<p>Will states look kindly on a requested increase of 2.6%, to a total of nearly 148 million EUR, mainly to support the increased investigations of the prosecutor and the increased workload of the Trust Fund for Victims (TFV), or will they again try to restrict the court from perceived overambition? The \u2018zero nominal growth\u2019 approach of some states in recent years is under debate, diplomatic sources say. But the states\u2019 own Committee on Budget and Financing has recommended a measly 0.6% increase on last year, to only 145 million EUR.<\/p>\n<p>The court does have costly ongoing obligations: \u201cMore than 90 witnesses will remain under protection in 2019\u201d and such protection includes their families too, making a total of 450 persons under protective measures. And it has ongoing necessities: 10 languages will need to be supported in courtroom proceedings; 10 defence teams working across trials; appeals and reparations proceeding need support; along with \u201cat least five teams of legal representatives of victims\u201d. The court also plans to have a presence in \u201cseven field locations in 2019\u201d: one each in CAR, C\u00f4te d\u2019Ivoire, Georgia, Mali and Uganda, and two in DRC (Kinshasa and Bunia). And NGOs will be pointing out during the ASP that in this era of #fakenews, the court has to do more to counter misinformation about its mandate and objectives.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>The lion\u2019s share of the budget is always for the OTP. They want 48 million EUR \u2013 an increase of 4.6% on last year.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>But the lion\u2019s share of the budget is always for the OTP. They want 48 million EUR \u2013 an increase of 4.6% on last year. Overall, the court says, \u201cthere is little to no further flexibility in terms of staff reallocation\u201d remaining, and with \u201ctwo new active investigations\u201d in comparison with what was budgeted for in 2018, this new money is needed.<\/p>\n<p>The independent Trust Fund for Victims, which is both funded out of the ICC budget and of voluntary contributions, is increasing its assistance work, and finally gearing up this coming year to implement reparations following the completion of a few ICC trials. They are asking for a whopping 58.3% increase \u2013 \u201cpredominantly staff costs\u201d \u2013 to do their job.<\/p>\n<p>Assistance project work is not directly related to a guilty verdict \u2013 for example, the TFV will work in CAR despite the Bemba acquittal. Nassar says this mandate is \u201csuper handy in keeping the court present\u201d in situation countries, especially as the trials can be long and there\u2019s the chance of acquittal. \u201cIt\u2019s essential in relieving the waiting that victims have to go through before they first have justice delivered and second have reparations delivered.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Three cases \u2013 Lubanga and Katanga in DRC and Al Mahdi in Mali \u2013 are \u201cexpected to be at the implementation stage of reparations in 2019\u201d. New staff are needed to identify \u201celigibile [sic] victims\u201d in the Lubanga and Al Mahdi cases and implement the reparations which include \u201cindividual, service-based collective and symbolic awards.\u201d<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>Victims can really go through the proceedings and formally submit their needs and views on what they want, and what their reparations should look like. So, it should be more meaningful, because they will feel they have had a say.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Nassar says this process \u201cwill be more individualized. Victims can really go through the proceedings and formally submit their needs and views on what they want, and what their reparations should look like. So, it should be more meaningful, because they will feel they have had a say.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>But even if the budget is approved, cases continue smoothly, investigations are turbocharged, and the reparations are finally paid out \u2013 drawing a line under the court\u2019s first cases \u2013 the ICC is unlikely to emerge from 2019 satisfying its many stakeholders.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Assembly of State Parties to the International Criminal Court opens its annual session on December 5 in The Hague. Here are the main topics and issues that will be discussed. They give a hint of the Office of the Prosecutor\u2019s priorities and dilemmas, and the hot debates that they will trigger in the coming [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":79,"featured_media":65409,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[562],"tags":[],"ji_location":[2567],"class_list":["post-39657","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-icc","ji_location-international"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v25.3.1 (Yoast SEO v25.3.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>ICC: What\u2019s on the menu for 2019 - JusticeInfo.net<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.justiceinfo.net\/en\/39657-icc-what-s-on-the-menu-for-2019.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"ICC: What\u2019s on the menu for 2019\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The Assembly of State Parties to the International Criminal Court opens its annual session on December 5 in The Hague. 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